ASEAN’s economic growth could bounce back to 8 pct by 2021
Economic growth in the ASEAN region could rebound to an average 8 percent in 2021 after falling into recession in the first half of 2020, a report suggested on June 8.
Singapore (VNA) – Economic growth in the ASEANregion could rebound to an average 8 percent in 2021 after falling intorecession in the first half of 2020, a report suggested on June 8.
The report, written by Oxford Economics and commissioned bythe Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales (ICAEW) suggestedthat most Southeast Asian economies will fall into recession in the first halfof 2020 before recording a 1.9 percent contraction for the full year.
The report said Thailand will be one of the worst hit in theregion because tourism and travel account for 20 percent of itsgross domestic product (GDP).
On the other hand, Vietnam will emerge the least affectedwith its lead in unwinding measures as compared to other regional peers,although it is not immune to the sharp slowdown in trade flows, the reportsaid.
The adverse impact on Southeast Asian economies is forecastto turn the corner in the second half of 2020 as Chinese import demand andglobal trade recover at a consistent pace, while a slower pace of normalisationwill continue to weigh on tourism-dependent economies, according to the report.
It added that coordinated fiscal stimulus packages andmonetary easing from authorities across the region will support the recovery ineconomic growth.
On the whole, the COVID-19 pandemic is likely to cause theglobal economy to shrink by 4.7 percent, it noted. This is more than double theimpact of the global financial crisis in 2008 and will be the biggest globalrecession in post-war history./.
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