Citigroup: Singapore to witness deeper recession in 2020
Singapore will fall into a deeper recession this year after it continues extending and tightening social distancing measures to prevent the COVID-19 until June 1, Citigroup warned.
A restaurant only serves takeaway food to avoid crowds (Source: AFP/VNA)
Singapore (VNA) – Singapore will fall into a deeper recession thisyear after it continues extending and tightening social distancing measures toprevent the COVID-19 until June 1, Citigroup warned.
Citigroup’s economists Wei Zheng Kit and Kai Wei Ang saidthat the city’s economy will contract by 8.5 percent in 2020, down from an earlierestimate of a 6 percent fall.
The circuit breaker will cause close to 25 percent to 30 percentof gross domestic product (GDP) to come to a standstill, with every month of extensionfurther reducing 2020 GDP by 2 percent to 2.5 percent.
The technical rebound after the lifting of the circuitbreaker on June 1 will be capped by continued social distancing and onlygradual recovery in exports, they wrote.
Any further cut to GDP forecasts for this year or nextraises the odds that the Monetary Authority of Singapore will again ease policyby lowering the currency's trading range at its October meeting, the economistswrote.
The central bank, which uses the exchange rate as its mainpolicy tool, took unprecedented easing steps last month by allowing for aweaker exchange rate to support the export-reliant economy.
Singapore now has the most cases in Southeast Asia as COVID-19spreads quickly in dormitories housing foreign workers. As of noon on April 22,the country confirmed over 10,000 infections./.
Singapore will extend its partial lockdown by another four weeks after reporting thousands of new COVID-19 cases in recent days, Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong said on April 21.
The number of COVID-19 cases in Singapore has exceeded 10,000, with 1,016 new cases reported as of noon on April 22, according to the local health ministry.
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